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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market43% (158–208, n=366)67% (429–211, n=640)
Consensus PnL——$54K-$142K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #188PM monthly #6PM monthly #45PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (21 of 27 open)52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Predators vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Predators
——Predators $34KKings $123
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
opposite sides · consensus Kaichi Uchida
——Kaichi Uchida $28KJoel Schwaerzler $758
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $85
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $295Over $60
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $253Under $58
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $113Over $194
W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones
opposite sides · consensus Emerson Jones
——Emerson Jones $231Chengyiyi Yuan $24
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $6.9KTrail Blazers $717
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.1KOver $174
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $267Under $94
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $105Under $59
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $77Trail Blazers $78