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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (411–485, n=896) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #630 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (35 of 60 open) | 71% (79 of 111 open) | 54% (22 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=772 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1348 at avg 63¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 1% of 475) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 45% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 79% of 42) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 802) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $21 | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $286 | Yes $4.3K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $62 | Yes $291K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $35 | No $43K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $674 | No $624 | — |