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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (410–517, n=927)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)65% (892–472, n=1364)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$69K$3.3M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #477PM monthly #21PM monthly #99PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus74% (230 of 310 open)66% (130 of 196 open)78% (39 of 50 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEntertainment −4 pts, n=77Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won61% of 1916 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 702)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 43% of 46)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 76% of 67)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 1101)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpndb1primm
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $363Yes $2.5K——
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40Yes $642——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $7No $2.8K——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $90——
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1No $1.1K——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $71No $822——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1No $136——
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
No $2—No $23—