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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)44% (574–717, n=1291)65% (4184–2216, n=6400)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)88% (22 of 25 open)53% (24 of 45 open)50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankPan9XRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $3.5K—Claire Liu $29Zeynep Sonmez $4.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $50K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $249—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $53Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $64K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $112No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $80Yes $7