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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | — | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #527 | PM monthly #124 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 53% (9 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $4.9K | Clippers $50K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $41K | — | — | Jazz $12K |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $6.7K | Celtics $20K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.2K | Clippers $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $166 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $128K | — | — | Magic $79K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | Celtics $111K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Bucks $323 | — | — | Bucks $29K |