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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677shineforever
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)55% (68–56, n=124)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$5.6M$120K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #16PM monthly #1PM monthly #222
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)67% (172 of 256 open)no open consensus position57% (8 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer ±0 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%38% of 104 at avg 37¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)63% (won 5% of 66)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)1% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 100% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677shineforever
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3K—Yes $56K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—No $24K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1K—Yes $13K
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63—Yes $12K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $11K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $973—Yes $9.6K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $1.2K
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $75
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $83—Yes $768
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $47—Yes $193
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4KArthur Fils $5.6K——
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7KRaptors $383——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40——