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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1robustmstSharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)66% (490–255, n=745)42% (13–18, n=31)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$330K-$131K$208K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #46 + pinnedPM monthly #28PM monthly #726
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)68% (49 of 72 open)no open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 12)0%—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)13% (won 100% of 26)85% (won 100% of 11)—
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)30% (won 100% of 62)15% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)51% (won 100% of 106)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1robustmstSharkbettingCom
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $5.6KCeltics $12K——
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $8.5KCeltics $539——
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317Wizards $236——
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $10KRaptors $148——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.6KRaptors $219——
Wizards vs. Pacers
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $4.3KPacers $2.6K——
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7KCavaliers $193——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $554Under $262——
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $123Knicks $382——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $143Under $252——
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $25Cavaliers $102——
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers $91East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16——