← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | no settled market | 42% (1399–1962, n=3361) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | $559K | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | — | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (122 of 217 open) | 85% (29 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Economy −5 pts, n=109 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 30% (won 7% of 1163) | 11% (won 80% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 5% (won 43% of 182) | 35% (won 98% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 5% (won 68% of 179) | 35% (won 100% of 201) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 60% (won 97% of 2298) | 20% (won 100% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | — | Yes $74K |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $945 | — | No $7.9K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $117 | — | No $218 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $50 | — | No $14 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | — | No $87K |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | No $9.1K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $1.0K |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | Yes $36 | — |