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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | googleplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | no settled market | 75% (596–198, n=794) | 40% (2–3, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | — | $19K | $391K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #527 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (12 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (135 of 215 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | — | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | — | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | — | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 19% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | — | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 76% (won 85% of 41) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | — | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 6% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | googleplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | — | Magic $532 | Kings $44K |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $31K | — | San Diego Toreros $156 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $985 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.6K | Under $86K |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | — | Heat $7.2K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | Jazz $1.1K | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $17K | — | Miami (OH) $12 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus FURIA | FURIA $13K | — | FURIA $12 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | — | Suns $5.9K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $278 | — | Magic $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | Jazz $489 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | Jazz $29 | — | Jazz $350 | — |