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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)43% (2610–3503, n=6113)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$92K$11.0M$5.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #448PM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus59% (26 of 44 open)67% (76 of 114 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Weather +2 pts n=147, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions ±0 pts, n=925———
Settled positions, side won37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢54% (won 3% of 1749)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 43% of 463)36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 61% of 140)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 97% of 901)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.8KNo $187K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.2KYes $77K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $77Yes $36K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.4KYes $14K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20KYes $1.4K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.2KYes $4.2K——
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $39No $737——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
No $29KNo $265K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12KYes $183K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3KNo $42K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $182No $22K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5.3KNo $607——