Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)71% (303–122, n=425)45% (537–650, n=1187)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL-$81K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #611PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)85% (53 of 62 open)50% (6 of 12 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=104———
Settled positions, side won64% of 466 at avg 63¢, ROI −3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 66)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 32% of 104)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 66% of 93)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 93% of 203)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $44K—Eagles $1.3K
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.1KEagles $858
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $664Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $1.5KEagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $23Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $1.1MCommanders $28K—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $188K—Commanders $1.8K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0KYes $15K——