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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343googleplayprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)97% (38–1, n=39)33% (2–4, n=6)65% (17–9, n=26)67% (383–189, n=572)
Consensus PnL$169$320K-$10K-$126K
Tracked asPM monthly #212PM monthly #19PM monthly #70PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (229 of 269 open)33% (1 of 3 open)64% (7 of 11 open)63% (87 of 138 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=10, ROI −34%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 84 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 11% of 9)0%9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 70% of 10)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 0% of 2)76% (won 85% of 41)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 100% of 73)6% (won 100% of 3)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343googleplayprimmRN1
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $86K—Over $354
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $14KUnder $1.0K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10KOver $3.8K
Spread: Ohio (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $2.6KMiami (OH) $19
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $390Miami (OH) $1.9K
Spread: Ohio (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $329Miami (OH) $1.5K
Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $884Miami (OH) $102
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $218Under $36
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.2KOver $742