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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)60% (31108–20768, n=51876)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$107K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #361PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)65% (99 of 152 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +39 pts n=14538, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14556 at avg 61¢, ROI +28%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 99% of 471)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 100% of 6543)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 3054)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 4488)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5K—Browns $255K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.8K——No $184K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $192—Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11K—Cardinals $59K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K——No $20K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400—Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9K—Falcons $8.6K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.2K——Yes $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3K—Raiders $104K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714—Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1K—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643—Jaguars $20K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K——Yes $4.1K