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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1540–2302, n=3842)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL-$3.7M$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #410PM monthly #3PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (27 of 46 open)88% (22 of 25 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (33 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −7 pts, n=151———
Settled positions, side won40% of 3822 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 6% of 1295)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 35% of 958)35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 64% of 1116)35% (won 100% of 202)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 453)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $630No $16K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24No $12K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $25K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $161Yes $2.6K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $310Yes $1.0K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $925Yes $28——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7Yes $164——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13Yes $27——