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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (6329–7540, n=13869) | no settled market | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$382K | — | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #943 | — | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 47% (150 of 317 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (60 of 93 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $30 | — | No $20K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $27 | — | No $5.8K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $52 | — | No $5.2K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $73 | — | No $2.8K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $39 | — | No $2.7K |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $66 | — | No $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $163 | — | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Athletic Club $24 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $39 | — | No $918 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $173 | — | Under $320 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $101 | — | Over $382 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Athletic Club $142 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $113 | — | Under $8 |
| W100 Incheon: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Caroline Werner opposite sides · consensus Zhuoxuan Bai | — | Caroline Werner $50 | — | Zhuoxuan Bai $39 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $63 | — | Yes $24 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $41 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | — | Under $10 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14 | — | Over $32 |
| Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Alexandre Muller | — | Alexandre Muller $2.1K | — | Alexandre Muller $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $465 | — | Over $2.9K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $3 | — | No $2.2K |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? same side · consensus No | — | No $470 | — | No $1.4K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $126 | — | No $1.4K |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Akron $177 | — | Akron $767 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $491 | — | No $431 |
| Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $115 | — | No $28 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $111 | — | Yes $7 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa | — | Yuzuha Negishi $23 | — | Yuzuha Negishi $55 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $64 | — | No $7 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $35 | — | Over $1 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | — | No $2 |