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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 62% (361–220, n=581) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $5.6M | $322K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 83% (157 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (52 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.