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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primmRN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)52% (848–786, n=1634)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$14.8M$27K
Tracked as—PM monthly #52PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #336
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position62% (105 of 169 open)53% (65 of 122 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primmRN1Venusian
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
——Novak Djokovic $30KRinky Hijikata $31K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $36KIgnacio Buse $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges
——Karen Khachanov $3.5KNuno Borges $9.9K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $12KNo $135
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
opposite sides · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
——Weronika Falkowska $8.0KMaaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $2.0K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $96No $3.1K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
——Carole Monnet $2Laura Samson $2.0K
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
——Luisina Giovannini $1.8KIrene Burillo Escorihuela $14
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $101No $320
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Juan Manuel La Serna $13Hernan Casanova $161
Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $19Zsombor Piros $144
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
opposite sides · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
——Yasmine Kabbaj $9Diana Martynov $138
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $433
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $9.0KMatej Dodig $2.3K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.3KNo $3.8K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KUnder $7
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.0KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
——AEK $5.5KAEK $295
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.3KYes $721
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KUnder $307
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $231Yes $1.5K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $146No $675
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $622No $6
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——No $132No $310
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $63Yes $105
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $117
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $12No $3