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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)28% (5–13, n=18)43% (3–4, n=7)75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL$16K$421K$70K$227K
Tracked asPM monthly #569PM monthly #48PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (77 of 115 open)66% (38 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 38¢, ROI +68%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 100% of 2)0%34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 100% of 1)67% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $10Bucks $3.2K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $65Under $1.0K
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $123Rockets $82
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Celtics $194Celtics $4.6K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.7K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.4KRockets $838
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $17Over $430
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Florida A&M Rattlers
——Kansas City Roos $102Kansas City Roos $241
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $3Rockets $56