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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (478–579, n=1057) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $11.1M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (23 of 35 open) | 37% (33 of 90 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=306 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1758 at avg 62¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 1% of 619) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 54% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 74% of 53) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1051) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.