← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (135–129, n=264) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.2K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (52 of 101 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=10 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 162 at avg 77¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 23% of 22) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 63% of 8) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 94% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 95% of 114) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $346 | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $169 | No $102K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38 | Yes $38K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $3 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | No $747 | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | No $590 | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $2 | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $83 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |