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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xdc3E831cad | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1048–1550, n=2598) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (58 of 76 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 44% (7 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=261 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 3268 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 1835) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 120) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 63% of 126) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 1187) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xdc3E831cad | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $412K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8 | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | Yes $118 | — | — |