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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (378–285, n=663) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$98K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #661 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (19 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) | 66% (100 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 483 at avg 60¢, ROI +24% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 21% of 24) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 83% of 88) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 94% of 239) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 132) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.5K | — | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | — | No $747 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $503 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 |