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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (59–20, n=79) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 64% (97 of 151 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −13 pts, n=20 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 79 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 17% of 6) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 85% of 62) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $50K | — | — | Yes $28K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $99K | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |