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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankHaradwaith
Record (consensus markets)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)45% (576–717, n=1293)39% (3321–5092, n=8413)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M-$469K
Tracked asPM monthly #119PM monthly #3PM monthly #229
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)88% (22 of 25 open)70% (493 of 703 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topic——Weather −6 pts, n=556
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)53% (won 3% of 2055)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)4% (won 35% of 170)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)5% (won 54% of 178)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)38% (won 89% of 1442)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankHaradwaith
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $409KYes $361
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $78KNo $4.2K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $372
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $12KYes $3
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.3KNo $124
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $25KYes $79
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KYes $14
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3KYes $120
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $69