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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HaradwaithRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)59% (28382–19413, n=47795)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M-$476K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #236PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus91% (31 of 34 open)56% (5 of 9 open)74% (449 of 603 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Weather −6 pts, n=589—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)56% (won 3% of 2296)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)4% (won 34% of 173)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)4% (won 49% of 168)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)36% (won 89% of 1464)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HaradwaithRN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $425K—Yes $223—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $69K—No $1.1K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K—Yes $68—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—No $371—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $28K—No $95—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24K—Yes $2—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—Yes $124—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $484—Yes $36—