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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 59% (28382–19413, n=47795) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $1.4M | -$476K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #236 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 63% (100 of 158 open) | 75% (444 of 595 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | Weather −6 pts, n=589 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 4% (won 34% of 173) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 4% (won 49% of 168) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $425K | — | — | Yes $223 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $69K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | Yes $68 |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | — | No $371 |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $28K | — | — | No $95 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | Yes $124 |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $15K | — | Bills $77 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $484 | — | — | Yes $36 |