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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 59% (28322–19314, n=47636) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | -$476K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #248 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 74% (520 of 699 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.