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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xheavy888 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4392–3296, n=7688) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $379K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (66 of 87 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=2035 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 8% of 590) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 42% of 1641) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 61% of 2379) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 82% of 1620) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xheavy888 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | — | No $184K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $25 | — | Chiefs $59K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $14 | — | Magic $24K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.6K | — | No $40K | — |