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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighRememberAmalek
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)43% (48–63, n=111)70% (143–62, n=205)
Consensus PnL$4.3K$254K$131K$494K
Tracked asPM monthly #922PM monthly #17PM monthly #38PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensus60% (37 of 62 open)no open consensus position61% (27 of 44 open)54% (83 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighRememberAmalek
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K——No $106K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $179——Yes $4.8K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $835——Yes $660
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5——No $18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $39——Yes $7.5K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $2.2K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $2.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
same side · consensus No
Yes $95——Yes $3.0K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $855——No $1.3K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $162——Yes $1.5K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $316——Yes $32
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45——Yes $5