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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189beachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (6392–7592, n=13984)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14329–15967, n=30296)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$376K$6.1M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus51% (225 of 438 open)100% (1 of 1 open)49% (19 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=391NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 326)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢64% (won 48% of 1149)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 162)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 90% of 164)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189beachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $2.6K—Jiri Lehecka $10K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Athletic Club $22—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $163—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $1.5K—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Maestrelli $1.1K—Francesco Forti $118—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $101—Over $382—
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian $148—Alan Magadan $158—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $142—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Georgii Kravchenko
same side · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
Sumit Nagal $1.1K—Sumit Nagal $5.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $465—Over $2.9K—
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
Manchester United FC $676—Manchester United FC $2.3K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $2.5K—
W35 Liberec: Kristyna Dulikova vs Elena Milovanovic
same side · consensus Elena Milovanovic
Elena Milovanovic $439—Elena Milovanovic $327—
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
Mateo Del Pino $310—Mateo Del Pino $316—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizabeth Mandlik
same side · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
Jazmin Ortenzi $18—Jazmin Ortenzi $453—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $111—Yes $7—