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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (6301–7492, n=13793) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 47% (14202–15801, n=30003) |
| Consensus PnL | -$128K | $5.9M | -$765K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (172 of 363 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (20 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Athletic Club $22 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $163 | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette | Magda Linette $301 | — | — | Aliona Falei $954 |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Katherine Hui opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $846 | — | — | Katherine Hui $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $101 | — | — | Over $382 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $137 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $2 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3 | Yes $65 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $465 | — | — | Over $2.9K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Maya Joint same side · consensus Maya Joint | Maya Joint $372 | — | — | Maya Joint $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $74 | — | — | Under $1.7K |
| W50 Heraklion: Lia Karatancheva vs Eliska Tichackova same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova | Eliska Tichackova $57 | — | — | Eliska Tichackova $285 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $116 | — | — | Yes $7 |
| W50 Heraklion: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Sofia Shapatava same side · consensus Lucia Cortez Llorca | Lucia Cortez Llorca $12 | — | — | Lucia Cortez Llorca $81 |
| W50 Heraklion: Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Ruth Roura Llaverias same side · consensus Ruth Roura Llaverias | Ruth Roura Llaverias $3 | — | — | Ruth Roura Llaverias $34 |