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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5778–6961, n=12739) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $5.8M | $3.2M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (151 of 257 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 94% (15 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $930 | — | — | Alejandro Tabilo $59 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | — | — | No $7.7K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $2.1K | — | — | Luca Van Assche $1.4K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne same side · consensus Xinyu Wang | Xinyu Wang $1.1K | — | — | Xinyu Wang $1.8K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $239 | Yes $66 | — | — |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $112 | — | — | No $23 |