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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 50-Pence | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (118–123, n=241) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $141K | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (74 of 113 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 60% (32 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −6 pts, n=62 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 241 at avg 44¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 8% of 110) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 31% of 26) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.