← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 50-Pence | ndb1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (118–128, n=246) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $135K | $4.1M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −6 pts, n=62 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 241 at avg 44¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 8% of 110) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 31% of 26) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 27) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.