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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (571–503, n=1074)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$13K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #342PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus29% (48 of 163 open)73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=218, ROI +2%
  • F1 +20 pts n=22, ROI −18%
  • MLB +14 pts n=24, ROI −25%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won76% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 53% of 19)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 52% of 86)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 75% of 110)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 99% of 116)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $214Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $406No $252K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $532Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $269No $102K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $234No $40K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $117Yes $4.1K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $375No $590
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $178Yes $258K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $57No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $83Yes $77K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $644Yes $38K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $460No $10K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $81Yes $1.1K