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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)95% (3818–184, n=4002)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$9.7K$7.7M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #855PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus94% (30 of 32 open)83% (44 of 53 open)no open consensus position57% (56 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112———
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $275K—Texans $5.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.5K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142K—76ers $901
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $2.8K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $92K—Texans $1.6K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16K—No $17K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24K—Colts $8.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $14K—Bulls $80
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3K—Browns $311