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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (13 of 23 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (88 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $54 | — | — | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $11 | — | — | Jets $2.1K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $518 | — | — | Falcons $1.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $400 | — | — | Ravens $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $415 | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $734 | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $286 | — | — | Ravens $21 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $698 | — | — | Buccaneers $4.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $232 | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $354 | — | — | Buccaneers $3.8K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $55 | — | — | Bills $1.3K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $35 | — | — | Buccaneers $748 |