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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (13 of 23 open) | 57% (87 of 152 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $390 | Falcons $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $54 | Raiders $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $11 | Jets $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $518 | Falcons $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $400 | Ravens $1.4K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $415 | Over $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | Cowboys $1.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $734 | Ravens $647 | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $286 | Ravens $21 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $698 | Buccaneers $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $232 | Bills $4.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $354 | Buccaneers $3.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $55 | Bills $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $35 | Buccaneers $748 | — | — |