← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (6810–7564, n=14374) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $323K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #167 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (110 of 147 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (56 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=1794 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 15740 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 5199) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 32% of 1681) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 52% of 1780) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 7080) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.