← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (6838–7606, n=14444) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $323K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #167 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (116 of 156 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=1794 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 15740 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 5199) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 32% of 1681) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 52% of 1780) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 7080) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.