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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 76% (41 of 54 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (21 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $212K | — | Eagles $5.6K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $208K | — | Over $6.8K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $68K | — | Eagles $131 |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $926 | Giants $37K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $11K | — | Eagles $3.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $101K | — | Colts $94 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $49K | — | Colts $5.7K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $311 | — | — | Under $1.6K |