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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BTCGambler247 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (209–83, n=292) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $392K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (46 of 57 open) | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 61% of 31) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 89% of 44) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 92% of 77) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 106) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BTCGambler247 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $264 | — | No $252K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $370 | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64 | — | Yes $73K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.9K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | Yes $4.4K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $602 | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $466 | — | Yes $193 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $566 | — | Yes $28 | — |