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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (160–21, n=181) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) |
| Consensus PnL | -$24K | $7.7M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (13 of 14 open) | 73% (43 of 59 open) | 54% (21 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 67% of 9) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 85% of 13) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 84% (won 97% of 138) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $208K | Over $6.8K |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $190K | Eagles $5.6K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $68K | Eagles $131 |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $11K | Eagles $3.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $101K | Colts $94 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $49K | Colts $5.7K |