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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$24K$7.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)75% (44 of 59 open)54% (21 of 39 open)56% (90 of 161 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101KColts $94Cowboys $2.4K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KEagles $131Giants $7.3K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $3.4KEagles $889
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208KOver $6.8K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190KEagles $5.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $2.4K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115K—No $2.9K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $108K—76ers $371
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $80
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $39K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21K—Jets $8.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $24K—Cowboys $3.1K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $285Rams $14K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $10K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.9K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $5.2K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.6K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339K—No $40K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KColts $5.7K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.7K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.4K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3K—Browns $197
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $236
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $657
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14