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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$24K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)75% (44 of 59 open)73% (144 of 197 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KColts $63Colts $5.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208K—Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190K—Eagles $5.6K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $108K76ers $797—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Eagles $131
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $3.4K
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Broncos $960Panthers $6.6K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339KNo $111K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Colts $94
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $48K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $16KBulls $215—
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
——Commanders $320Commanders $285