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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BillBenter2026BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)65% (6139–3342, n=9481)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$42K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)62% (26 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=156———
Settled positions, side won87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 23% of 204)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 45% of 399)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 1142)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 2799)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBillBenter2026BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $704Browns $255K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.2KCardinals $59K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.0KMagic $24K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Raiders $5.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K