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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (57 of 82 open)no open consensus position88% (7 of 8 open)62% (94 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primmRN1
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $35K—Ravens $766Ravens $1.2K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $300K——Steelers $91
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $259K——Steelers $3.6K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $105K——Jets $257
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $32K——Cowboys $21
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $8.6K——Buccaneers $1.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $2.7K——Cowboys $605
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2.1K—Ravens $406—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $777
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $331Ravens $1.2K