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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CUTJALENHURTS | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 52% (5357–4920, n=10277) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $638K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 63% (86 of 137 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (117 of 175 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Golf −2 pts, n=108 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 19% of 1341) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 35% (won 46% of 3607) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 35% (won 61% of 3523) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 17% (won 86% of 1699) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.