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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFeedTheBigBirdndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)no settled market63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M—$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1—PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)57% (89 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFeedTheBigBirdndb1RN1
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K——Cowboys $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $150
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K——Eagles $8.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $2.0K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.9K——76ers $371
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $240——76ers $155
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339K——No $33K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K