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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmshineforever
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)54% (76–65, n=141)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$3.6M$86K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #231
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)68% (238 of 352 open)71% (12 of 17 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)63% (won 4% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)2% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)2% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmshineforever
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $593—Yes $14K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $333—Yes $11K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $146—Yes $9.9K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $215—Yes $1.3K
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $191—Yes $78