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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)47% (315–349, n=664)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M$169K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #56PM monthly #526
Sides with the consensus78% (38 of 49 open)74% (154 of 209 open)75% (15 of 20 open)73% (8 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%45% of 545 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)42% (won 3% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)17% (won 34% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 79% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)28% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmvtcchampion52
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $170Colts $5.1K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $125K—Over $19K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $139K—Eagles $1.5K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $74K—Eagles $95—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $165Lions $47K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.5KChiefs $49K—
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Commanders $221Commanders $247—